Climate change: Not drowning, just scrounging


The Maldives government are worried about the nasty climate change monster submerging their islands. So worried, the President of the Maldives recently held a Cabinet meeting underwater - for fuck's sake - to draw attention to their supposedly soggy plight.

Nils-Axel Mörner is a scientist, a 'sea-level specialist'. He's been to the Maldives to investigate, not once but six times.  

Guess what? He thinks the Maldives will be OK. Being a kindly sort of scientist, he's written to the President of the Maldives on several occasions to set him right. The President, perhaps miffed at being contradicted in his doom-mongering media stunts, has not replied.

Frustrated, Nils has now published an open letter, printed in the Spectator and reproduced over at the Coffee House.

You really should read the whole letter, but some of the tastiest extracts (with CF's emphases) include:

"Dear Mr President,

You are obviously very concerned about the effect that sea level rises may have on the Maldives .. you have even declared that ‘we are going to die’ if the climate change summit in Copenhagen fails. I am now writing with.. good news. The scientific side of the situation is quite different to that which you imagine. You are, in fact, not going to die.

The IPCC vision is a rise that by the year 2100 may amount to between 30cm and 50cm. This is based on model calculations. Our figure is a 5cm rise, plus or minus 15cm. In a newspaper article, you have suggested that sea levels may rise by between one and eight metres. Those figures, however, do not concur with the physics and known rates of ice melting. So those figures must be dismissed as impossible.

Impossible? Mr President must be pleased: his worst imaginings are impossible. Nils-Axel has been looking into things.
 

"I have been on no fewer than six different field expeditions to the Maldives. .. We have always found the same thing: a total stability for the last 30 years, preceded by a 20cm drop in sea level in the 1970s.

The people of the Maldives had no problems surviving the 17th century, which was 50cm higher than now. Nor the last century, where it rose by 20cm. This bodes well for their prospects of surviving the next change.

Well. Mr President must be feeling a bit foolish. All that panic for nothing. Or was it for nothing? Nils-Axel thinks it might have been for another reason:

"Could it be because there is money involved? If you inhabit a tiny island and can convince the world that its very existence is under threat because of the polluting policies of the West, the industrialised nations will certainly respond. The money is likely to flow in more quickly than the ocean will rise.


Surely not? Surely the President was pure in his motives, and worried only for his beloved people. In which case, Nils-Axel has good news:

"So, Mr President, you and your ministers in the Maldives really don’t need to worry .. You should pass on this message to the people of the Maldives. It is high time to release them from this terrible psychological burden."

Set his people straight. Let them stop worrying. Do you think Mr President will do that?

Yeah, right.

_

10 comments:

TheBigYin said...

I never used to be so cynical but these days there is so much to be cynical about. As far as the Maldives are concerned can you hear the sound of cash registers in your ears CF? I mean, the western world are tripping over themselves to give taxpayers money to these poor countries that are suffering at our hands with our modern ways 'modern ways'!

God it's dark in here, need to switch on my energy saving lights...god, it's still dark in here!

Ed P said...

cf Dubai's "The World", built at sea level.
If there really was going to be a problem with rising levels, the research for this huge development would have factored it in. There isn't, they didn't.

thespecialone said...

I am waiting for the mainstream media to report on these findings by the Swedish scientist.

Fidothedog said...

Maybe we should have a whip around for some water wings for him? ;-)

Anonymous said...

CF you are patently out of your mind. If what u allege is true then that means some Politicians are simply liars on the make instead of fine upstanding men and women of principle and conviction like that Mrs Bercow. No Im not having any of this talk.

Henry Crun said...

Dear Mercedes Benz

Please don't forget our big order will be placed 24 hours after the Copenhagen Summit. And yes, I would like the nice limousine with the one way glass.

How many virgins did you say I can get in the back seat?

President Mohammed Nasheed
The Maldives

banned said...

Spot the deliberate mistake
"Corals are living structures that form under the sea to create beautiful and colourful reefs, but they also have a vital role in creating and protecting islands such as the Maldives, and in helping the sea absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Coral is now under threat from changes in the ocean caused by climate change."

http://www.hayfestival.com/wales/coral.aspx

Maldives are made of coral, corals form under water, ergo > Maldives were formed under water when sea levels were significantly higher. Sorted.

Anonymous said...

Banned, can you clarify, are you saying the islands are MADE out of coral as opposed the Coral surrounding them having some EFFECT on their formation ?

banned said...

Anonymous, should have said "Maldives are largely made of coral..."

Maldives, geography of

Anonymous said...

CF you must be wrong as I saw a woman from The Maldives at Copenhagen and she was crying such is the danger they are in. Are you suggesting she is over egging their case ????


Note Any hint of sarcasm is purely intentional.