Everybody, but every-fucking-body, thinks Gordon Brown is on his way out. Those Labour MP's are finally going to grow a pair, rise up, and purge the one-eyed son of the Manse. Ding dong, the witch is dead.
Mark over at Mark Reckons is offering bets that he'll be gone by the end of the month.
According to Guido Fawkes, earlier today:
"Dealing rooms cheered as rumours swept around the Square Mile that Gordon was gone. Downing Street had to issue a denial that the Prime Mentalist had resigned. Soon Gordon, Soon."
But Guido's red italics are wrong. Mark's going lose his money. Because..
We may already be dancing in the streets in anticipation, but to cut through this eupohria, blogger Charlotte Gore (delightfully described by Obo' t'Clown as "not half sharp, especially for a Lib Dem") hoists her metaphorical skirts and pisses all over our chips.
Gordon Brown's departure could happen in one of two ways - he jumps or he's pushed. First Charlotte deals with the jumping: no fucking chance:
"..that would require Brown to grudgingly accept that there’s someone else in the Labour Party that can lead the party better than he can. There’s no way he’s going to accept that."
"..it needs Brown to give up on his hope that he can turn things around as his ‘message’ of ‘action’ versus ‘nothing’ begins to get through. There’s no way he’s going to give up on that."
"..he needs to believe that there’s someone else in the Labour Party who can fight at better General Election campaign than he can. Remember he believes himself to be the guy that got Blair re-elected in 2005. He’s the master campaigner, the master election strategist. No-one else can be trusted, can they?"
So he won't fucking jump. OK, Charlotte, can someone please push the fat fucker over the edge?
"He can be replaced at their Conference, assuming enough MPs can get the correct forms in to the NEC in the correct time-scales. But there’s the tricky issue of getting the NEC to issue these forms in the first place - there’s a precedent that they do not issue these papers while the Leader is serving as Prime Minister."
"The machinery of the Labour Party is set up to make it impossible for MPs to remove the Prime Minister with a democratic process."
For fuck's sake. But there's more. Or rather, for Gordon, there isn't:
"An alternative tactic would be for every Cabinet Minister to resign, and every backbencher refuse to take up a Cabinet post ... force the dissolution of parliament and an immediate General Election. Labour MPs will not want to use any tactic that causes a General Election."
"Same goes for a blackmail dissolution of Parliament vote .. More than 63 Labour MPs say they’ll vote ‘no confidence’ if Brown doesn’t resign before the vote - Brown would call their bluff and decide that standing up to backbench terrorists will stand him in good stead if they do, in fact, end up voting ‘no confidence’."
Everything Charlotte says, whilst fucking tragic, is horribly accurate and completely true. So, in a summary for the voting public?
The fucker's not going anywhere, unless he wants to. Which he fucking doesn't. Fuck.